Investing in assets that tend to rise with inflation (e.g., commodities, real estate)

by Casey O'Brien 5 months ago

Investing in assets that tend to rise with inflation (e.g., commodities, real estate)

The Inflation Game: Investing in Assets That Ride the Wave

Imagine inflation as an annoying neighbor who insists on playing their music too loud. At first, it’s just background noise—a slight hum that you can easily ignore. But over time, that hum grows into a full-blown rock concert in your living room, shaking the walls and rattling your nerves. Suddenly, you're left wondering: How do I tune this out? Or better yet, how do I turn this to my advantage?

Inflation, much like that noisy neighbor, has a way of sneaking up on you. What started as a mild 2% yearly increase in prices can quickly escalate, leaving your hard-earned money worth a little less with each passing day. But don’t worry—there’s a way to dance to the beat of inflation without losing your rhythm. The secret? Investing in assets that tend to rise with inflation.

Let’s break it down in a way that makes sense, and more importantly, in a way that keeps things interesting (and maybe even a little fun).

The Big, Bad Wolf: Understanding Inflation

Before we dive into the assets that can help you tame inflation, it’s worth taking a moment to understand what inflation really is. Simply put, inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. If you've ever noticed that your $100 grocery bill doesn't stretch as far as it used to, you've felt inflation's impact firsthand.

Inflation isn't inherently bad—it’s a natural part of a growing economy. But when it gets out of control, it can become the Big, Bad Wolf of your financial story, huffing and puffing until it blows your purchasing power down. To protect your money from inflation’s ravenous appetite, you need to invest in assets that rise in value as prices increase. Here are a few that can help keep your financial house standing strong.

Commodities: The Raw Deal

Commodities might sound like a boring topic reserved for economics majors, but bear with me—they’re actually quite fascinating. Commodities are basic goods used in commerce, such as oil, gold, wheat, and coffee. Yes, coffee counts! And if you're like most people, coffee prices going up probably feels like a personal attack. But there’s a silver lining: commodities often rise in value when inflation strikes.

Why? Because commodities are the raw materials that get more expensive when the cost of everything else goes up. For instance, if inflation causes the price of oil to surge, energy stocks and oil-related assets could follow suit. Gold, often referred to as the "inflation hedge," tends to rise in value when the purchasing power of money decreases. It's like the financial world’s version of comfort food—reliable, steady, and always there when you need it.

Real-World Example:

Remember the 1970s? If you don't, that's probably a good thing—it was a time of sky-high inflation (known as "stagflation"), when prices soared and the economy stumbled. During this period, commodities like gold saw massive gains. Gold prices shot up from around $35 an ounce in the early 1970s to over $600 by the end of the decade. Those who invested in gold during that time likely felt pretty good about their decision, unlike those who clung to cash.

Real Estate: Your Inflation-Proof Fortress

Next on the list of inflation-friendly assets is real estate. Picture your real estate investments as a sturdy, well-built fortress standing tall amidst the chaos of inflation. Real estate tends to appreciate over time, and rental income can provide a steady stream of cash that often rises with inflation.

Here's the kicker: When inflation goes up, so do property values and rents. So, owning real estate during inflationary times can be like holding a golden ticket (just without the creepy chocolate factory tour). The ability to increase rent in line with inflation means that your income keeps pace with rising prices, protecting your purchasing power.

Real-World Example:

Consider the real estate market in major cities like New York or San Francisco. Property values in these locations have consistently increased over the years, even during periods of high inflation. For instance, between 1970 and 1980, real estate prices in these cities more than doubled, providing a substantial buffer against inflation for property owners.

But what if you don’t have the capital to buy a property outright? No problem! Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) are a more accessible option. REITs allow you to invest in real estate through the stock market, offering the potential for income and capital appreciation without needing to deal with tenants, toilets, or termites.

Stocks: The Inflation Fighter’s Secret Weapon

Wait a minute—aren’t stocks supposed to be risky during inflationary periods? Not necessarily. While certain stocks may struggle when inflation heats up, others can actually thrive. The key is to focus on companies with strong pricing power—those that can pass on higher costs to consumers without losing customers.

Think of companies that sell everyday essentials, like toothpaste, shampoo, or food. Even if prices go up, people still need to brush their teeth and eat. Companies that produce these goods often see their stock prices rise during inflation because they can increase prices without a significant drop in demand. It’s a bit like how you’ll still buy coffee even if the price goes up a few cents—you might grumble about it, but you’ll still do it.

Real-World Example:

Look at consumer staples giants like Procter & Gamble or Coca-Cola. These companies have weathered inflationary storms in the past by raising prices to offset rising costs. Their stocks have historically performed well in inflationary environments, making them a go-to choice for investors looking to shield their portfolios from inflation.

Inflation-Indexed Bonds: The Slow and Steady Approach

If commodities, real estate, and stocks sound too adventurous for your taste, there’s always the slow and steady approach: inflation-indexed bonds. These bonds, such as U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), are specifically designed to help investors keep pace with inflation. The principal value of TIPS increases with inflation, ensuring that your investment retains its purchasing power over time.

Think of inflation-indexed bonds as the tortoise in the race against inflation—steady, reliable, and unlikely to let you down. They won’t deliver the sky-high returns of commodities or real estate, but they offer a safe harbor for those who prefer a more conservative approach.

Real-World Example:

During periods of rising inflation, TIPS have provided investors with a secure way to preserve their capital. For instance, in the early 2000s, when inflation began to rise, TIPS delivered returns that outpaced traditional bonds, offering a cushion against the eroding effects of inflation.

A Balanced Approach: The Best of All Worlds

Now, you might be wondering: Do I have to pick just one of these inflation-resistant assets? The good news is, no, you don’t! A balanced approach that includes a mix of commodities, real estate, stocks, and inflation-indexed bonds can help you navigate the choppy waters of inflation with confidence.

Diversifying your portfolio with a range of inflation-resistant assets is like assembling an all-star team to tackle inflation. Each asset class has its strengths and weaknesses, but together, they provide a robust defense against the unpredictable nature of rising prices.

Conclusion: Beating Inflation at Its Own Game

Inflation doesn’t have to be the Big, Bad Wolf in your financial story. By investing in assets that tend to rise with inflation—commodities, real estate, stocks with strong pricing power, and inflation-indexed bonds—you can protect your purchasing power and keep your financial house standing tall.

So, the next time inflation starts cranking up the volume, don’t just sit there and let it drown you out. Take action, invest wisely, and soon enough, you’ll be dancing to the beat of inflation—on your own terms. And who knows? You might even find that the music isn’t so bad after all.